โ Blue = tracked team path โ Red = likely final opponent path Win % shown on each matchup based on current rankings.
| # | Team | Pts |
|---|
Win probability uses the World Rugby ranking points differential:
P(win) = 1 / (1 + 10^(โฮpts / 15))
Where ฮpts = tracked team ranking points โ opponent ranking points.
The cumulative tournament probability is the product of each stage win probability:
P(champion) = P(R16) ร P(QF) ร P(SF) ร P(Final)
The bracket path is calculated dynamically based on live pool standings โ the most likely opponent at each stage is shown.
| # | Timestamp | After Match | QF% | SF% | Final% | Win% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No snapshots yet. Enter match results to begin. | |||||||